海角乱伦社区

April 19, 2025
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Work in the age of artificial intelligence

Whose jobs are at risk? The answer is more complicated than you might think

海角乱伦社区 researchers are examining AI from a variety of angles 鈥 how to improve it, the best ways to implement it and what we鈥檙e getting out of it. 海角乱伦社区 researchers are examining AI from a variety of angles 鈥 how to improve it, the best ways to implement it and what we鈥檙e getting out of it.
海角乱伦社区 researchers are examining AI from a variety of angles 鈥 how to improve it, the best ways to implement it and what we鈥檙e getting out of it. Image Credit: iStock.com/gremlin.

For years, workplaces have relied on a certain level of artificial intelligence to perform specific tasks, such as analyzing data, predicting patterns or automating routine processes.

The rise of generative AI, which can create new content, has accelerated both business investments and interest from society at large. Rather than just sorting preexisting information, OpenAI鈥檚 ChatGPT, Google鈥檚 DeepMind and other contenders can generate new text, images and video based on written prompts.

Many corporations, especially tech giants, see AI as a path to increased efficiency and higher profits. Critics point to concerns about fake results (known as 鈥渉allucinations鈥), copyright infringement (due to large-scale data scraping of text and images that are recombined into 鈥渘ew鈥 results), and how workers will cope in this new environment. If AI can produce something as good as what humans do, how many of us will end up unemployed?

海角乱伦社区 researchers are examining AI from a variety of angles 鈥 how to improve it, the best ways to implement it and what we鈥檙e getting out of it.

A new landscape for this AI 鈥榖oom鈥

Carlos Gershenson-Garcia, a SUNY Empire Innovation Professor, has studied AI, artificial life and complex systems for the past two decades.

When surveying the current 鈥淎I boom,鈥 he steps back for a moment and offers some historical perspective: 鈥淭here always has been this tendency to think that breakthroughs are closer than they really are. People get disappointed and research funding stops, then it takes a decade to start up again. That creates what are called 鈥楢I winters.鈥欌

He points to frustrations with machine translation and early artificial neural networks in the 1960s, and the failure of so-called 鈥渆xpert systems鈥 鈥 meant to emulate the decision-making ability of human experts 鈥 to deliver on promised advances in the 1990s.

鈥淭he big difference is that today the largest companies are IT companies, when in the 鈥60s and 鈥90s they were oil companies or banks, and then car companies. All of it was still industrial,鈥 said Gershenson-Garcia, a faculty member in the School of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering, part of the Thomas J. Watson College of Engineering and Applied Science. 鈥淭oday, all the richest companies are processing information.鈥

With breakthroughs in large language models such as ChatGPT, some futurists have speculated that AI can do the work of secretaries or law clerks, but Gershenson-Garcia sees that prediction as premature.

鈥淚n some cases, because this technology will simplify processes, you will be able to do the same thing with fewer people assisted by computers,鈥 he said. 鈥淭here will be very few cases where you will be able to take the humans out of the loop. There will be many more cases where you cannot get rid of any humans in the loop.鈥

As for generating images and doing design work, Gershenson-Garcia compares AI to the rise of photography in the mid-19th century. For centuries, painters would try to capture a true likeness of the subject. Once photos could do that, it freed 20th-century artists to explore more radical ideas, such as Impressionism or Cubism, and photography evolved into an art form of its own.

鈥淚 don鈥檛 think it will be the end of art, but more an exploration of art in areas that technology still cannot reproduce properly,鈥 he said. 鈥淥n the other hand, there also will be new art in collaboration with computers. It will be the same in other disciplines 鈥 science, gaming, entertainment, medicine. I think it will be interesting.鈥

Re-evaluating the creative process

What would a good working relationship with AI look like? Christopher Swift, an assistant professor in 海角乱伦社区鈥檚 Department of Art and Design, focuses his research on human and nonhuman collaborations in the creative process. His latest project, 鈥淪peculative Anthropology of the Unknown and Maybe,鈥 explores creating with machine learning models as a new collaborative process that decenters the graphic designer as the primary maker.

鈥淰ery often, creative people see themselves as a unique, fantastic idea machine, as opposed to being part of this incredible network of collaborators, the history of culture and the tools we use,鈥 he said. 鈥淰ery often, we鈥檙e not as central or at the top of the hierarchy as we think we are. My work encourages people to look at this wider ecology where we exist and be a little bit more humble.鈥

Unlike some artists and writers, Swift is not focused on copyright issues, since even humans 鈥渄on鈥檛 come up with ideas from nothing.鈥 He also disagrees that something generated by AI has less value than a piece made by human hands: 鈥淭he idea that the text given to an image generator or large language model can鈥檛 produce something I would call 鈥榗reative,鈥 that captures my imagination and makes me think in a different way, is a misunderstanding of the creative process and our role in it.鈥

Swift points out that AI and robots have been taking jobs from humans for the past few decades, mainly in the manufacturing and warehouse sectors. Only now that creative roles are threatened 鈥 such as writing, editing, photography and design 鈥 are white-collar professionals concerned about their future employment.

鈥淢ost of the critiques I鈥檝e heard about AI and how it鈥檚 going to affect the workplace are not about AI 鈥 they鈥檙e critiques of capitalism in general,鈥 he said. 鈥淵es, it鈥檚 going to take away people鈥檚 jobs, and we have nothing in place to ameliorate that. It is going to devastate entire industries 鈥 that is 100% true. But it鈥檚 a mistake to say that is because of AI, as opposed to saying this is what corporations do with any new technology.鈥

Cutting jobs vs. optimizing the workforce

Surinder Kahai, an associate professor in the School of Management, agrees that how business leaders implement AI is at least as important as what it can do, if not more so.

Over his 33-year career at 海角乱伦社区, Kahai has focused on the intersection of leadership and technology through the lens of management information systems (MIS). During that time, workplaces have evolved from local area networks (LANs) all in one room or building to employees working remotely from all over the world using the internet and supported by powerful computing platforms, many of which rely on AI.

Kahai said managers see two choices regarding AI: Cut jobs to boost the bottom line in the short term, or optimize AI as a tool that can improve productivity and quality in the long term.

Who will be at risk? The answer is more complicated than you might think.

鈥淐ompanies may believe they do not need as many higher-skilled people,鈥 he said. 鈥淰ery often, we think that AI will affect lower-skilled people, but lower-skilled people cost less. If you can make them more effective and move them up the learning curve more quickly, then why hire higher-skilled people?

This way, you save money.

鈥淭he downside is that AI systems distribute the knowledge of higher-skilled people to lower-skilled people. If the work situation does not change, then the knowledge you have harvested from higher-skilled people can be used and reused for eternity. If the world and the business situation change, you still need those higher-skilled people 鈥 but maybe you need fewer of them.鈥

While generative AI raises some ethical concerns 鈥 especially when it lifts content from copyrighted sources or presents 鈥渉allucinations鈥 as facts 鈥 it also can be a tool for roleplay situations to develop ourselves as leaders.

鈥淵ou can go to ChatGPT and say: 鈥楶retend you are an employee who has proven to be difficult,鈥 then give it a scenario and ask it to engage with you,鈥 Kahai said. 鈥淵ou can practice how to be a good leader in such a situation, and then you can ask it to evaluate you. It can do that quite effectively.鈥

When humans and robots work together

If humans and AI are going to get along well, they need a common language, or must at least share common ground about problem-solving.

Shiqi Zhang, an associate professor at Watson College鈥檚 School of Computing, studies the intersection of AI and robotics, and he especially wants to ensure that service robots work smoothly alongside humans in collaborative environments.

There鈥檚 just one problem 鈥 and it鈥檚 a big one: 鈥淩obots and humans don鈥檛 work well with each other right now,鈥 he said. 鈥淭hey don鈥檛 trust each other. Humans don鈥檛 know what robots can do, and robots have no idea about the role of humans.鈥

Zhang and his team focus on everyday scenarios 鈥 such as homes, hospitals, airports and shopping centers 鈥 with three primary themes: robot decision- making, human鈥搑obot interaction and robot task-motion planning. Zhang uses language and graphics to show how the AI makes decisions and why humans should trust those decisions.

鈥淎I鈥檚 robot system is not transparent,鈥 he said. 鈥淲hen the robot is trying to do something, humans have no idea how it makes the decision. Sometimes humans are too optimistic about robots, and sometimes it鈥檚 the other way round 鈥 so one way or the other, it鈥檚 not a good ecosystem for a human鈥搑obot team.鈥

One question for software and hardware designers improving AI鈥揾uman collaborations is how much information needs to be shared back and forth to optimize productivity. There should be enough so that humans can make informed decisions, but not so much that they are overwhelmed with unnecessary information.

Zhang is experimenting with augmented reality (AR), which allows users to perceive the real world overlaid with computer-generated information. Unlike the entirely computer-generated experience of virtual reality (VR), someone on a factory floor stacked with boxes and crates could pull out a tablet or put on a pair of AR-enhanced glasses to learn where the robots are, so that accidents can be avoided.

鈥淏ecause these robots are closely working with people, safety becomes a huge issue,鈥 Zhang said. 鈥淗ow do we make sure the robot is close enough to provide services but keeping its distance to follow social norms and be safe? There is no standard way to enable this kind of communication. Humans talk to each other in natural language, and we use gestures and nonverbal cues, but how do we get robots to understand?鈥

When it comes to AI, specific is best

If your workplace falls under the science or research realm, or if you do anything that involves combing through large amounts of data, AI can be a valuable tool for sorting everything at lightning speed. That is, if the algorithm is designed correctly.

Alexey Kolmogorov, a professor of physics, has been developing the Module for Ab Initio Structure Evolution (MAISE) simulation package for 15 years. At the intersection of physics, materials science and computer science, MAISE uses an evolutionary algorithm for finding stable crystal structures and a neural network module for modeling interatomic interactions.

Kolmogorov recalls that using AI for materials research hit a wall in the early 2000s because it proved difficult to translate information about atomic structure into something that the learning machine would understand. Later in the decade, the materials modeling community figured out how to parse structural information and feed it to neural networks. Those AIs, inspired by the human brain, offered the flexibility to construct general interaction models automatically with little human input.

鈥淲henever we come up with a machine-learning prediction, we still check it,鈥 he said. 鈥淥nce you narrow down the pool of possible candidates, now it becomes feasible to test it with the best possible available methods. In my group, we published papers that I believe to be the first examples where neural network potentials were used to predict compounds that are truly stable.鈥

Exploring the chemical world guided by machine-learning models has the potential to change the way we discover new materials.

鈥淣eural networks developed with MAISE accelerated the traditional structure search process a hundred fold,鈥 Kolmogorov said. 鈥淭his enabled us to screen over 3 million compounds in a year and identify dozens of previously overlooked materials.鈥

While he is enthusiastic about the possibilities for accelerated exploration using AI designed for specific purposes like chemistry, accounting or healthcare, Kolmogorov remains doubtful of general AI models.

鈥淚t is incredible to see how far machine learning has advanced since I first used it in my Ph.D. research over 25 years ago,鈥 he said, 鈥渂ut major breakthroughs are needed to make artificial general intelligence a reality.鈥

AI merely adding 鈥榤ore noise and detail鈥

Stephanie Tulk Jesso, an assistant professor at Watson College鈥檚 SSIE School, shares those doubts. She researches human鈥揂I interaction and more general ideas of human-centered design 鈥 in short, asking people what they want from a product, rather than just forcing them to use something unsuitable for the task.

鈥淚鈥檝e never seen any successful approaches to incorporating AI to make any work better for anyone ever,鈥 she said. 鈥淕ranted, I haven鈥檛 seen everything under the sun 鈥 but in my own experience, AI just means having to dig through more noise and detail. It鈥檚 not adding anything of real value.鈥

Tulk Jesso believes there are many problems with greater reliance on AI in the workplace. One is that many tech experts are overselling 鈥 AI should be a tool, rather than a replacement for human employees. Another is how it鈥檚 often designed without understanding the job it鈥檚 meant to do, making it harder for employees rather than easier.

Lawsuits about copyrighted materials 鈥渟craped鈥 and repurposed from the internet remain unresolved, and environmentalists have climate concerns about how much energy generative AI requires to run. Among the ethical concerns are 鈥渄igital sweatshops鈥 in developing countries where workers train AI models while enduring harsh conditions and low pay.

Tulk Jesso also sees AI as too unreliable for important tasks. Earlier this year, for instance, Google鈥檚 AI suggested adding glue to pizza to help the cheese stick better, as well as eating a small rock daily as part of a healthy diet.

Fundamentally, she said, we just don鈥檛 know enough about AI and how it works: 鈥淪teel is a design material. We test steel in a laboratory. We know the tensile strength and all kinds of details about that material. AI should be the same thing, but if we鈥檙e putting it into something based on a lot of assumptions, we鈥檙e not setting ourselves up for great success.鈥

Despite AI鈥檚 limitations, corporations worried about keeping pace with competitors 鈥 and, of course, making a profit 鈥 are ramping up AI integration, regardless of whether it鈥檚 shown to have any great benefit. Because technology moves faster than legislation, it鈥檚 also unclear how AI should be regulated.

鈥淭here needs to be some kind of enforcer. I don鈥檛 know if that鈥檚 coming from lawmakers right now, and I don鈥檛 know if it ever can be codified into laws,鈥 Tulk Jesso said. 鈥淲e may need to rely on social laws 鈥 the way that we say, 鈥楴o, you鈥檙e not putting that into my workspace, and if you do that, I鈥檓 going to quit, or I鈥檓 going to unionize and I鈥檓 going to fight this. I need to have some way to control my own environment.鈥欌